 Rohstoffe - Charttechnischer Ausblick Palladium
J. Rabe I OptionsStrategien - 03.02.2012
Nachdem Palladium in 2011 erstmals seit 2008 wieder ein Jahr mit einem wenn auch moderaten Verlust abschließen musste, gelang es zuletzt ausgehend von der Unterstützung welche vom Hoch aus 2008 herrührt eine erneute Anstiegsbewegung zu starten.
Unterstützend für den weiteren Chartverlauf dürften vor allem 3 Punkte sein.
1. Der saisonale Trend unterstützt steigende Preise noch bis in den Zeitraum April/Mai, so dass von dieser Seite aus wenig Gefahr droht. ... mehr  The Wolf Is At The Door
Phil Flynn I PFGBEST - 03.02.2012
The Energy Report for Friday, February 3rd 2012
The oil market is getting less rattled by the headlines surrounding Iran. Iranian threats to shut down the Straits of Hormuz or cut off supply to Europe in a preemptive strike, have been like the old story of "the Little Boy Who Cried Wolf". So is it any wonder that the market is ignoring some of the provocative headlines coming from Iran. It seems that the oil market has been getting prepared for this show down for months and we have the oil supplies to prove it. ... mehr  The Nemenoff Report - Bonds Lower, S&P's higher, Silver Lower
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - 03.02.2012
Financials: Mar. Bonds are currently 1’26 lower at 142’25 and the 10 Yr. Note 21 lower at 131’17. This morning’s monthly Jobs Report showed in an increase in non-farm payrolls of 243,000 vs. expectations of 130,000. The unemployment rate was a reported 8.3%. Needless to say, a strong report. We remain spread long the 5 Yr. Note/ short the 10 Yr. Note which has narrowed 13 points this morning to 7’23 premium the 10 Yr. , which puts us even on this position. If the Bonds should continue to trade lower from present levels, you might consider going short either Dec. 2012 or June 2013 Eurodollars. ... mehr  Rohöl - Bei zunehmender Risikovermeidung gerät der Rohölpreis in Abschwung
Forexyard Research - 03.02.2012
Der Rohölpreis sank den ganzen gestrigen Tag hindurch, als neuerliche Befürchtungen hinsichtlich der Schuldenlage in der Eurozone bewirkten, dass Investoren sich von riskanteren Anlagewerten abwandten. Beim europäischen Handel ging der Rohölpreis bis auf $ 96,24 pro Barrel zurück, bevor eine leichte Aufwärtskorrektur einsetzte. Die neuerlichen Bedenken hinsichtlich der Schuldenlage in Griechenland und Portugal trugen zur Rückläufigkeit beim Rohölpreis bei. ... mehr  Daily Commodities Update: Brent Crude Oil
autochartist.com - 03.02.2012
Jonah S. Ford - Brent Crude Oil futures are holding steady above $110 per barrel after having hugged this key support level through most of the trading week. This level serves as the rising trend line which forms the bottom of a Flag chart pattern highlighted here by Autochartist.
The Flag appears on the Autochartist 240-minute time frame, currently listed as an active trading opportunity. The approach to support has already confirmed the pattern is intact as of Thursday’s session with a bounce from $110.50 per barrel. ... mehr  The Grain Report - The Big Picture
Tim Hannagan I PFGBEST - 02.02.2012
Tim Hannagan is one of the nation’s most prominent grain analysts. His report for Thursday, Feb. 2:
Corn fundamentals remain constant as we enter next week. Cash prices being offered at U.S. shipping ports to meet export demand remain 40 to 80 cents over March futures, a sign that crop problems in South America have importers turning to the U.S. to fill needs.
The drought in Mexico has also contributed to a wave of exports into Asia. ... mehr Is Exxon Mobil Stupid?
Phil Flynn I PFGBEST - 02.02.2012
The Energy Report for Thursday, February 2, 2012
Stupid is as stupid does and after Exxon Mobil, the world’s largest publicly traded oil company, reported net income of $9.4 billion for the quarter, up from $9.25 billion the year before and revenue of $121.6 billion, up 16 percent from the year before, T. Boone Pickens seemed to suggest that they were stupid. You see Mr. Pickens, according to the AP, after his company, Clean Energy Fuels, announced a deal with truck maker Navistar to make more vehicles that run on the abundant fuel and build more fueling stations, seemed to suggest that the only way to bolster U.S. natural gas prices and cut the market's massive oversupply is to stop drilling. ... mehr The Nemenoff Report - Bonds Higher, S&P's higher, Silver Lower
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - 02.02.2012
Financials: Mar. Bonds are currently 10 higher at 144’21 and the 10 Yr. Note 4 higher at 132’03. Yields are still hovering just below 3.0% on the Bonds and just below 1.9% on the 10 Yr. Note. As I have mentioned over the past few months, I do not want to trade the Bonds or 10 Yr. Note from the long side with yields below 3.0% and 2.0% respectively. I still find resistance in the Bonds in the 145’16-146’16 levels and look for short term trades from the short side of the market at these levels. This morning, Initial Jobless Claims were down 12K vs. expectations for a drop of 7K. Non-farm productivity was up 0.7% as expected. We remain spread long Mar. 5 Yr. Notes/ short Mar. 10 Yr. Notes at 7’23 premium the 10 Yr. Notes in anticipation that the spread will narrow. This spread is currently at 8’01 premium the 10 Yr. The market awaits tomorrow’s monthly Unemployment Report. ... mehr Gold - Inmitten zunehmender Risikobereitschaft steigt der Goldpreis weiter an
Forexyard Research - 02.02.2012
Der Goldpreis hielt seinen Aufwärtstrend gestern bei, als positive Wirtschaftsnachrichten aus der Eurozone zu einem Anstieg der Risikobereitschaft an den Märkten führten. Das Edelmetall kam dem Preis von $ 1.750 pro Feinunze recht nah, bevor später am Tag eine leichte Korrektur einsetzte.
Heute wird der Goldpreis größtenteils von den US Wirtschaftsnachrichten beeinflusst. Sollten die Nachrichten zu weiteren Kursgewinnen beim Euro und anderen riskanteren Währungen führen, ... mehr Daily Commodities Update: Natural Gas
autochartist.com - 02.02.2012
Jonah S. Ford - Nymex Natural Gas futures slipped further underwater in Wednesday’s trading session to retest the multi-year lows set at the beginning of January. This price action confirmed an earlier breakout pattern identified on the Autochartist 15-minute time frame. With oil futures continue hovering at or above $100 a barrel and a strong energy sector overall, these sell-offs in natural gas may be establishing a long term bottom at these levels.
The Pennant chart pattern illustrated here shows the narrowing range between support and resistance levels between the two swing lows in the price. ... mehr  Rohstoffe: Gold wieder auf dem Vormarsch
Börse Frankfurt - 01.02.2012
Marktbericht vom Handel mit Rohstoff-ETCs
1. Februar 2012. FRANKFURT (Börse Frankfurt). Alles dreht sich im Moment um Gold: Seit Jahresanfang gehen die Preise wieder rasant nach oben – auch wenn der Rekordstand vom September bei über 1.900 US-Dollar noch weit entfernt ist. „Nach einem schwierigen vierten Quartal sind Edelmetalle fulminant ins neue Jahr gestartet“, meint der Rohstoffexperte Heinrich Peters von der Helaba. „Gold erlebte dabei den stärksten Januar seit über drei Jahrzehnten.“ ... mehr Not Buying It
Phil Flynn I PFGBEST - 01.02.2012
The Energy Report February 1st 2012
Ok I just am not buying it. All of the hyperbole and enthusiasm that we are seeing in oil. Oh sure I will buy the breaks in oil for short term plays but it appears that the next big move on oil may be down. Oil failed to establish a breakout which means we are in a choppy downward correction. ... mehr The Nemenoff Report - Bonds Lower, S&P's higher, Silver Higher
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - 01.02.2012
Financials: Mar. Bonds arecurrently 22 lower at 144’24 and the 10 Yr. Note 6 lower at 132’02. The ADP Private Sector Jobs report this morning showed an increase of 170,000 jobs as expected. Due out at 9:00 will be Construction Spending and the ISM Manufacturing Index. We remain spread long 5 Yr. Notes/ short 10 Yr. Notes.
Grains: This morning Mar. beans are 10’4 higher at 1209’4, Mar. Corn 9’2 higher at 648’2 and Mar. Wheat 11’6 higher at 677’6. I feel these markets are currently in resistance. ... mehr Rohöl - Rohölpreis steigt aus über $ 100 pro Barrel
Forexyard Research - 01.02.2012
Im Verlauf des gestrigen Tages führten die positiven Wirtschaftsnachrichten aus der Eurozone zu erheblicher Risikobereitschaft, was dem Rohölpreis kräftigen Auftrieb verlieh. Der Rohstoff schoss um über 150 Pips in die Höhe und damit weit über den psychologisch wichtigen Wert von $ 100 pro Barrel. Riskantere Rohstoffe, wie das Rohöl, werden oftmals teurer, wenn der Kurs des Euro steigt.
Heute sollten Händler auf die Ergebnisse der US Wirtschaftsnachrichten achten, ... mehr Daily Commodities Update: Silver
autochartist.com - 01.02.2012
Jonah S. Ford - A nice technical breakout was spotted by Autochartist in the silver market early in Tuesday’s trading session. Following a prolonged move higher inside of a textbook Channel Up chart pattern, the price of the nearby silver futures turned lower to breach the trend line support and trigger the sell signal.
As shown here on the 240-minute time frame, the Channel Up had provided support and resistance levels for the strong move upward from the $30.50 per ounce level up to the multiple swing highs near $34.00 per ounce. The orderly trade within this trend provided a strong score for the pattern across all measurements. ... mehr The Energy Report - Horror At The Pump
Phil Flynn I PFGBEST - 31.01.2012
A gas price horror story is evident at pumps across America as the price, according to the Energy Information Agency, hit the highest level since Halloween. The EIA reports the national average retail price of regular gasoline increased 5 cents a gallon last week, bringing the national average to a whopping $3.439 a gallon. The last time prices went this high demand fell to an 11 year low. Oil prices that are stubbornly staying around $100 a barrel, along with planned and unplanned maintenance at many refineries, is adding to this nightmare on Main Street. ... mehr  Rohstoffe - COT Report Analyse - zwei Reporte, doch nicht immer zwei gleiche Aussagen
Mike C. Kock - 31.01.2012
Seit fast sechs Monaten arbeite ich an der neuen Auswertung des COT Reports. Seit 2006 gibt es zwei COT Reports den alten "Current legacy Report" und den neuen "Disaggregated Futures Report". Für mein Trading ist die Auswertung - die richtige Auswertung der beiden Reporte die Basis meiner Entscheidungen. So werden die Einstiegssignale in den folgenden Beispielen fast überwiegend aus den Positionen der einzelnen Marktteilnehmer generiert.
Gold ... mehr The Nemenoff Report - Bonds Lower, S&P's higher, Silver Higher
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - 31.01.2012
Financials: Mar. Bonds are currently 5 lower at 144’15 and the 10 Yr. Notes 1 lower at 132’00. These markets are still displaying a fear premium due to fear of Greek and Portugese debt. Yesterday the Bonds neared resistance of the 145’16-146’00 level making a high of 145’03. Yields dropped once again to 3.00% on the 30 Yr. and 1.85% on the 10 Yr. evidencing a continued flattening of the yield curve.In spite of this we are spread counter trend, long the 5 Yr. Note/ short the 10 Yr. Note, currently trading at 8’00 ( we put the spread on at 7’23 premium the 10 Yr.) ... mehr Rohöl - Zu Beginn der Woche sinkt der Rohölpreis weiter
Forexyard Research - 31.01.2012
Negative Wirtschaftsnachrichten aus der Eurozone wirkten sich den gestrigen Tag hindurch rückläufig auf den Rohölpreis aus, da Investoren sich von riskanteren Anlagewerten zugunsten von Safe-Häfen zuwandten. Der Rohölpreis fiel beim europäischen Handel bis auf $ 98,49 pro Barrel, bevor eine leichte Aufwärtskorrektur einsetzte.
Heute dürfte der Rohölpreis weiter sinken, wenn nicht eine Übereinstimmung über einen griechischen Schuldenschnitt erreicht wird. ... mehr Daily Commodities Update: Cocoa
autochartist.com - 31.01.2012
Jonah S. Ford - Cocoa futures executed a downside breakout in Monday’s session to confirm the first sell signal of the recent strong rally. After gaining nearly $500 per metric ton during the last half of January, profit taking near the $2,500 level has completed a Rising Wedge chart pattern with the breach of support illustrated here by Autochartist.
This Rising Wedge spans the entire price range of the rally and terminates at the breached support level near $2,350 per ton. The sell signal was generated at this level, maintaining a high degree of technical clarity but lacking in momentum. ... mehr Th Energy Report - Trying to find the light
Phil Flynn I PFGBEST - 30.01.2012
Is there any light at the end of this tunnel? Instead of a decisive plan to bailout Greece, questions still linger while we try to decide whether this European crisis will end nicely. It just goes on and on.
Iran also does not seen to be as scary on Monday. Weapon inspections are raising hopes that there may be a resolution to this crisis. It seems that according to the AP, "Iran's official news agency reports that the country's foreign minister has said that inspectors from the U.N.'s nuclear watchdog can extend an ongoing visit to the Islamic Republic." ... mehr The Nemenoff Report - Bonds Higher, S&P's Lower, Silver Lower
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - 30.01.2012
Financials: Mar. Bonds are currently 1’09 higher at 144’23 and the 10 Yr. Note 13 higher at 132’04. Greece and Portugal are once again in the news as talks will take place later in the week on how to resolve several issues including how much of a “haircut” Greek bondholders will have to take. Long term resistance on the Bonds is once again the 145’16-146’00 area. On Friday we once again put on the long 5 Yr. Note / short 10 Yr. Note spread above the 7’22 level premium the 10 Yr. Note. This morning the spread is against us, trading at 8’03.
Grains: Over night Mar. Beans traded 14’2 lower at 1204’6, Mar. Corn 7’6 lower at 634’0 and Mar. Wheat 5’6 lower at 641’4. ... mehr  Goldminen schlagen zurück!
Marc Nitzsche - 30.01.2012
Direkt, nachdem die US-Notenbank diesen Mittwoch entschieden hat den Leitzins ein Jahr länger als geplant niedrig zu halten, schossen die Goldminen und der Goldpreis förmlich in Richtung Norden.
Der HUI Goldminen Index stieg um ganze 6,6 Prozent und unser Goldminen Schwergewicht Newmont Mining konnte ganze 5 Prozent gut machen. Die starke Reaktion des Goldpreises und der Minenaktien auf diese (mündliche) Ankündigung die Nullzinspolitik (Operation Twist) bis 2014 zu verlängern und das trotz sich aktuell bessernden Konjunkturzahlen zeigt deutlich, dass die Märkte eine solche inflationäre Geldpolitik nicht eingepreist haben. ... mehr Rohöl schloss die vergangene Woche unter dem Wert von $ 100 pro Barrel
Forexyard Research - 30.01.2012
Trotz des Aufschwungs, den riskantere Währungen wie der Euro zum Ende der vergangenen Woche hin erfuhren, verzeichnete Rohöl am Freitag gemischten Handel und schloss letztlich unter dem Wert von $ 100 pro Barrel. Analysten schreiben allerdings die Abwärtsbewegung der Nachricht zu, dass das EU Embargo auf iranisches Erdöl voraussichtlich erst nach mehreren Monaten in Kraft treten wird. Durch diese Nachricht beruhigten sich auch die Befürchtungen von Investoren hinsichtlich der Nachschubsicherheit, welche den Rohstoffpreis nach unten drückte. ... mehr Daily Commodities Update: Corn
autochartist.com - 30.01.2012
Jonah S. Ford - A choppy and volatile month of January is drawing to a close on a slight bullish note for the grain futures markets. Led by strength in the corn futures, the broader complex turned higher in what appears to be an effort to cement the month’s sell-off as a long-term swing low. Corn pushed back above the $6.40 per bushel level to confirm the modest breakout spotted here by Autochartist.
This breakout from the apex of a Triangle chart pattern shows up on the 30-minute completed patterns platform. ... mehr Weekly Commodities Update: Gold
autochartist.com - 30.01.2012
Jonah S. Ford - Gold futures resumed their upward climb in last week’s trading, moving significantly above the $1,700 per ounce key level support. The overall chart analysis suggests the buyers are still in command of this market as the steady climb has yet to see any meaningful price retracement. While this bodes well for the longer term, Autochartist has detected a formidable resistance level at the $1,740 level which did manage to cap the week’s gains.
After marching steadily higher in the uptrend phase of a Channel Up chart pattern, gold pulled back softly to set up a pivot point within the formation. ... mehr  Gold-Future: Chartanalyse des Wochencharts
K.P.Kagels I Ross Trading - 29.01.2012
Zeitpunkt der Analyse: 28.01.2012
Letzter Kurs: 1.737,6 US$
Analyst: Herr Kagels, www.ross-trading.de
Der Gold-Futures Kontrakt wird im elektronischen Handel an der CME Globex (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) gehandelt. Die Notierung erfolgt in US$ pro Feinunze. Ein Futureskontrakt umfasst 100 Feinunzen.
Die charttechnische Analyse am 28.01.2012: Zum Zeitpunkt der Analyse notiert der Gold-Future (Februar-Kontrakt) bei 1.737,6 US$.
Der unten abgebildete Chart (Bild 1) zeigt die Gold-Kursentwicklung von Oktober 2011 bis zum Zeitpunkt der Niederschrift im Januar 2012, dargestellt anhand des mittelfristigen Wochencharts. ... mehr Credit Where Credit Redux
Phil Flynn I PFGBEST - 27.01.2012
The Energy Report for Friday, January 27th 2011
After President Obama's State of the Union speech, I questioned whether the President was trying to take credit for the amazing advances in technologies that has been made in energy production over the last decade. In an article I titled, "Giving Credit Where Credit Is Due", I asked why the Obama tried to take credit for the work of others when he said, "it was public research dollars, over the course of thirty years, ... mehr The Nemenoff Report - Bonds Higher, S&P's Lower, Silver Lower
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - 27.01.2012
Financials: Mar. Bonds are curently 3 higher at 142’30 and the 10 Yr. Notes5 higher at 131’19. This morning’s GDP was up 2.8% vs. expectations of 3.0%. Consumer spending was up 2.0% pretty much in line with expectations. The long 5 Yr. Note/ short 10 Yr. Note spread is currently at 7’20 premium the 10 Yr. Note. I will once again be willing to do this spread if it widens above 7’22.0 premium the 10 Yr. Note.
Grains: Yesterday Mar. Beans closed 9 cents higher, Mar. Corn unchanged and Mar. Wheat 12 higher. Over night Beans were unchanged, Corn 4 higher and Wheat 1 lower. ... mehr Rohöl - Rohölpreis steigt wieder einmal auf über $ 100 pro Barrel
Forexyard Research - 27.01.2012
Der Rohölpreis schoss gestern in die Höhe, nachdem positive europäische Wirtschaftsdaten dazu führten, dass Investoren sich Rohstoffen zuwandten. Normalerweise wird Rohöl für Investoren immer dann interessanter, wenn der Kurs des Euro ansteigt. Der gestrige Handelstag bildete da keine Ausnahme, da der Preis für Rohöl wieder einmal auf über $ 100 pro Barrel anstieg.
Heute sollten Händler die Richtung des Euro im Auge behalten, ... mehr Daily Commodities Update: Silver
autochartist.com - 27.01.2012
Jonah S. Ford - Silver futures pulled back slightly in Thursday’s session after a strong run for the week. The retracement is occurring after a touch of resistance provided by a Triangle chart pattern forming on the 30-minute time interval. Autochartist is tracking the developments on the emerging patterns platform, with a projection for a continued short-term decline to the support trend line near $33.40 per ounce.
The Triangle chart pattern is clearly defined already, but also has plenty of room for the price to trade inside the range as it approaches the apex. ... mehr Grain Analysis - Month-End Analysis
Tim Hannagan I PFGBEST - 26.01.2012
Tim Hannagan is one of the nation’s most prominent grain analysts. His report for Thursday, Jan. 26:
Thursday's weekly export sales report put corn sales a week ago at 958 thousand metric tons, making it a second consecutive strong week. Drought-stricken Mexico was in for 264 thousand in the eighth consecutive week of heavy Mexican purchases. Their drought is now considered the worst since records have been kept.
This will lend to talk ahead of the February 9 USDA monthly crop report that the report will raise U.S. export projections for 2012, and that will reduce already very tight ending stocks. ... mehr Giving Credit where Credit is Due
Phil Flynn I PFGBEST - 26.01.2012
The Energy Report for Wednesday, January 25th 2012
I have to Obama credit for making the shale gas and oil revolution part of his State of the Union Address. Yet at the same time, I fail to understand why he wants to take credit for it as opposed to giving the credit where it is deserved and that is with the US energy industry. Indeed, the President was right when he said, "Nowhere is the promise of innovation greater than in American made energy. ... mehr The Nemenoff Report - Bonds Higher, S&P's higher, Silver Higher
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - 26.01.2012
Financials: Mar. Bonds are currently 22 higher at 142’15 and the 10 Yr. Note14 higher at 131’06. This morning’s weekly Jobless Claims showed an increase of 21,000 vs. expectations of an increase of 23,000. Durable Goods were up 3.0% vs. average expectations of an increase of 2.0%. Yesterday the FOMC announced NO change in interest rates. Their expectations were that inflation will remain below 2.0% through mid to late 2014 and consequently rate targets will remain low through 2014. One thing I have learned, DON’T FADE THE FED. The results of yesterday’s pronouncement was a rally from the 141’00 level to 143’16 and back to 142’00. ... mehr Rohöl - Weltweite Wirtschaftsnachrichten lassen Rohölpreis weiter sinken
Forexyard Research - 26.01.2012
Der Rohölpreis setzte gestern seinen Abschwung fort, nachdem negative Wirtschaftsdaten aus Europa und Japan dafür sorgten, dass Investoren sich Safe-Hafen-Anlagen, wie dem US Dollar, zuwandten. Normalerweise sinkt der Preis riskanterer Anlagewerte, wie dem Rohöl, wenn der Kurs des USD steigt und Rohstoffe für internationale Investoren weniger erschwinglich werden. Folglich sank der Rohölpreis beim europäischen Handel unter den Wert von $ 98 pro Barrel.
Heute sollten Händler ihre Aufmerksamkeit auf die vielfältigen US Wirtschaftsnachrichten legen, ... mehr Daily Commodities Update: Palladium
autochartist.com - 26.01.2012
Jonah S. Ford - Palladium futures may take a cue from the rest of the precious metals sector as the week progresses. Gold and silver both surged higher in Wednesday’s session while palladium touched a major support level after setting a new multi-month low on the chart. Such a divergence is often temporary, and palladium’s price action shown here on the Autochartist 240-minute time frame suggests a turn-around is highly possible. ... mehr Minenaktien mahnen zur Vorsicht im Gold
J. Rabe I OptionsStrategien - 25.01.2012
Beim Anblick der Goldminenindizes (hier stellvertretend der Amex Gold Bugs Index $HUI) fällt auf, dass sich die Preise der meisten Goldminen deutlich schlechter als der Goldpreis selbst zeigen. Dieser notiert zwar auch deutlich unter den Hochs von 2011 allerdings auch deutlich über den Preistiefs aus dem Herbst 2011. Die Minenaktien dagegen sind auf dem Weg unter die Tiefs des Vorjahres zu fallen. ... mehr Giving Credit where Credit is Due
Phil Flynn I PFGBEST - 25.01.2012
The Energy Report for Wednesday, January 25th 2012
I have to Obama credit for making the shale gas and oil revolution part of his State of the Union Address. Yet at the same time, I fail to understand why he wants to take credit for it as opposed to giving the credit where it is deserved and that is with the US energy industry. Indeed, the President was right when he said, "Nowhere is the promise of innovation greater than in American made energy. Over the last three years, we’ve opened millions of new acres for oil and gas exploration, and tonight, I’m directing my Administration to open more than 75 percent of our potential offshore oil and gas resources. ... mehr The Grain Report - Less Rain
Tim Hannagan I PFGBEST - 25.01.2012
Tim Hannagan is one of the nation’s most prominent grain analysts. His report for Tuesday, Jan. 24:
When we went home Friday, the forecast called for good rains forecasted over all of Argentina and southern Brazil. It turned out rains missed many of the areas and were half or less of what was expected.
We have opened higher at the start of six consecutive weeks now.
The La Niña weather pattern that's led to the drought-like conditions in South America has lived up to its potential. When it's dry, it's very dry and when rain is called for, It's always far under estimates. ... mehr The Nemenoff Report - Bonds Higher, S&P's Lower, Silver Lower
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - 25.01.2012
Financials: Mar. Bonds are 7 higher at 141’13 and the 10 Yr. Notes 5 higher at 130’08. Yields are once again above 3% on the Bonds and above 2% on the 10 Yr. Note. Today is the 2nd day of the two day FOMC meeting. As is usual there should be an interest rate announcement at 1:15. I expect no change. I remain on the sidelines.
Grains: Yesterday Mar. beans closed 2’4 higher, Mar. Corn 10’2 higher and Mar. Wheat 13’6 higher. ... mehr  Silber - Der Weg ist das Ziel
Robert Schröder - 25.01.2012
Nachdem 2011 für Silber eher enttäuschend verlief, beginnt das neue Börsenjahr 2012 für die immer größer werdende Zahl von Silber-Bullen prächtig. Innerhalb der ersten 3 1/2 Wochen in 2012 kann Silber in USD um über 15 Prozent auf über 32 USD zulegen. Wie werden nun die kommenden Wochen? Geht es jetzt in diesem Tempo direkt weiter aufwärts Richtung 50 USD Marke? Oder gibt es vorab noch größere Rücksetzer, die sich für weitere physische Zukäufe eignen?
Das war sehr gemein von Silber! ... mehr Rohöl - Allgemeine Risikovermeidung lässt Rohölpreis sinken
Forexyard Research - 25.01.2012
Die Sorgen über die Schuldenlage der Eurozone in Verbindung mit den nachlassenden Spannungen im Mittleren Osten ließen den Rohölpreis beim gestrigen Handel sinken. Investoren wandten sich den Tag über größtenteils wieder den Safe-Hafen-Währungen, wie dem USD, zu, was zu einem Preisrückgang bei den Rohstoffen, einschließlich Rohöl, führte. Der Rohölpreis fiel beim europäischen Handel um weit über $ 1.
Heute sollten Händler besonders auf verschiedene US Indikatoren achten, ... mehr Daily Commodities Update: Cocoa
autochartist.com - 25.01.2012
Jonah S. Ford - Cocoa futures exploded higher in Tuesday’s trading session to gain nearly $130 per metric ton for the day. This surge triggered a technical breakout from the Triangle chart pattern shown here on Autochartist’s 240-minute time interval. Given the extraordinary momentum of the move so far, it is likely we will see a continuation of the move towards the forecast target price in Wednesday’s session.
Cocoa had been trading in a mostly sideways range for the last several weeks, bouncing between the support and resistance levels created by the Triangle chart pattern. ... mehr Bluster Fluster
Phil Flynn I PFGBEST - 24.01.2012
The Energy Report for Tuesday, January 24th 2012
What do you mean the Straits of Hormuz are open? How could this be?! Did Iran not promise to shut down the Straits of Hormuz if Europe dared to impose sanctions on this rouge state? Well yesterday after agreeing to help Greece make up financially for the replacement of that cheap Iranian oil, the EU actually got the gumption to agree on an Iranian oil embargo. Now we are just waiting for Iran to follow through on their bold prediction that shutting down the straits of Hormuz would be as easy as drinking a cup of water. Come on now Iran, show us how it's done. ... mehr The Nemenoff Report - Bonds Higher, S&P's Lower, Silver Lower
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - 24.01.2012
Financials: Mar. Bonds are currently 11 higher at 141’16 and the 10 Yr. Notes 4 higher at 130’03. Yesterday the market broke support of 141’16 making a five week low of 140’21 only to bounce back to the 141’16 level. We have taken profits on the long 5 Yr. Note/ short 10 Yr. Note spread. With tonight’s State of the Union address and the 2 day FOMC meeting I am inclined to choose the sidelines.
Grains: Yesterday Mar. Beans closed 30 cents higher, Mar. Corn 8 higher and Mar. Wheat 9 higher. ... mehr Gold - Positive EU Wirtschaftsdaten lassen Goldpreis weiter ansteigen
Forexyard Research - 24.01.2012
Nach den Veröffentlichungen positiver Wirtschaftsdaten aus der Eurozone, welche der Risikofreudigkeit unter Investoren Auftrieb verlieh, konnte der Goldpreis sein Aufwärts-Momentum, welches vergangene Woche einsetzte, aufrechterhalten. Normalerweise bewegt sich der Preis für Rohstoffe, wie Gold, analog zu riskanteren, höhere Erträge erzielenden Währungen, wie dem Euro. Gleichwohl der Preis für das Edelmetall momentan hoch ist, geben Analysten zu bedenken, dass negative Nachrichten aus der Eurozone ihn sehr schnell wieder nach unten drücken werden. ... mehr Daily Commodities Update: Brent Crude Oil
autochartist.com - 24.01.2012
Jonah S. Ford - Bullish news for the oil markets led the trading action on Monday, as the confirmation of the EU embargo plans for Iran were met with renewed threats by that nation to close the Strait of Hormuz. The result was a firming of the recent uptrend in Brent Crude Oil futures to set the stage for a possible sharp rally as the week progresses. Chart analysis reveals the major signal for a continuation may be a run at the top of the Flag chart pattern identified by Autochartist and illustrated here. ... mehr The Nemenoff Report - Bonds Lower, S&P's higher, Silver Higher
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - 23.01.2012
Financials: Mar. Bonds are currently 13 lower at 141’15 and the 10 Yr. Notes 5 lower at 130’03. I feel that the Bonds are currently in support in the 141’16 area as mentioned Friday. The long 5 Yr. Note/ short 10 Yr. Note spread is now trading at 7’01 premium the 10 Yr. Note which is slightly below my target of 7’05 or lower. Take profits on this spread if you remain in the position.
Grains: On Friday Mar. Beans closed 10 cents lower at 1187’0, Mar. Corn 5’4 higher at 611’4 and Mar. Wheat 4’6 higher at 610’4. ... mehr Deal Or No Deal!
Phil Flynn I PFGBEST - 23.01.2012
The Energy Report for Monday, January23rd 2012
Wheeling and dealing dominate the energy market as it desperately seeks direction. Will there be a deal on Greece? Or will Europe actually cut a deal to follow through on a deal to embargo Iran's precious oil. And if they do, will it be tough enough?
The AP reports that, "the European Union formally adopted an oil embargo Monday against Iran and a freeze of the assets of the country's central bank as part of sanctions meant to pressure the country to resume talks on its nuclear program. ... mehr Rohöl - Zum Wochenende verzeichnete der Rohölpreis kräftigen Abschwung
Forexyard Research - 23.01.2012
Am Freitag verzeichnete der Rohölpreis einen Abschwung da Händler sich ihrer Positionen entledigten, bevor der Februar-Vertrag ausläuft. Auch die Frage eines möglichen Schuldenschnitts für Griechenland trug zum Absinken des Rohölpreises auf $ 98 pro Barrel bei. Letztlich handelte der Rohstoff zum Wochenschluss bei $ 98,42 pro Barrel.
Heute dürfte die Konferenz der Finanzminister der Eurozone wahrscheinlich Einfluss auf den Preis des Rohöls haben. ... mehr
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